Probability (continued)


   
 
Random Variable and Probability Distribution
If is often very important to allocate a numerical value to an outcome of a random experiment. For example consider an experiment of tossing a coin twice and note the number of heads (x) obtained.
 
Outcome : HH HT TH TT
 
No. of heads (x) : 2 1 1 0
 
x is called a random variable, which can assume the values 0, 1 and 2. Thus random variable is a function that associates a real number to each element in the sample space.
 
Random variable (r.v)
 
Let S be a sample space associated with a given random experiment.
 
A real valued function X which assigns to each wi Î S, a unique real number.
 
 
Note:
 
There can be several r.v's associated with an experiment.
 
 
A random variable which can assume only a finite number of values or countably infinite values is called a discrete random variable.
 
e.g., Consider a random experiment of tossing three coins simultaneously. Let X denote the number of heads then X is a random variable which can take values 0, 1, 2, 3.
 
Continuous random variable
 
A random variable which can assume all possible values between certain limits is called a continuous random variable.
 
Discrete Probability Distribution
 
A discrete random variable assumes each of its values with a certain probability,
 
Let X be a discrete random variable which takes values x1, x2, x3,…xn where pi = P{X = xi}
 
Then
 
X : x1 x2 x3 .. xn
 
P(X): p1 p2 p3 ..... pn
 
is called the probability distribution of x.
 
Note 1:
 
In the probability distribution of x
 
 
Note 2:
 
P{X = x} is called probability mass function.
 
Note 3:
 
Although the probability distribution of a continuous random variable cannot be presented in tabular form, it can have a formula in the form of a function represented by f(x) usually called the probability density function.
 
Probability distribution of a continuous random variable
 
Let X be continuous random variable which can assume values in the interval [a,b].
 
A function f(x) on [a,b] is called the probability density function if
 
 
 
Mean and Variance of a Discrete Random Variable
Let X be a discrete random variable which can assume values x1, x2, x3,…xn with probabilities p1, p2, p3 ….. pn respectively then
 
(a) Mean of X or expectation of X denoted by E(X) or m is given by
 
 
(b) Variance of X denoted by s2 is given by
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Note :
 
 
Example:
 
Two cards are drawn successively without replacement, from a well shuffled deck of cards. Find the mean and standard deviation of the random variable X, where X is the number of aces.
 
Suggested answer:
 
X is the number of aces drawn while drawing two cards from a pack of cards.
 
The total ways of drawing two cards 52C2. Out of 52 cards these are 4 aces. The numbers of ways of not drawing an Ace =48C2. The number of ways of drawing an ace is 4C1 x 48C1 and two aces 4C2.
 
Therefore the r.v. X can take the values 0, 1, 2.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
= 0.1629 - 0.0236
 
= 0.13925
 
 
Let X be a continuous random variable which can assume values in (a, b) and f(x) be the probability density of x then
 
(a) Mean of X or Expectation of X is given by
 
 
(b) Variance of x is given by
 
 
 
 
     
   
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